PSG3 - 1Metz
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, December 17 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
for
We said: Paris Saint-Germain 4-0 Metz
It would not be beyond the realm of possibility for Metz to switch to a defence-heavy setup in a bid to quell the PSG strikeforce, who are normally in a merciless mood at the Parc des Princes, but their resistance should ultimately prove futile. Profligacy has harmed Enrique's men heading into the Christmas period, but a straightforward success - their 14th in a row against Metz - should come their way before the New Year celebrations commence. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Metz had a probability of 10.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 3-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Metz win it was 1-2 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Metz |
74.47% ( -0.55) | 15.29% ( 0.55) | 10.23% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.68% ( -2.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.26% ( -2.97) | 32.73% ( 2.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.58% ( -3.51) | 54.41% ( 3.5) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.55% ( -0.78) | 7.45% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 73.21% ( -2.07) | 26.79% ( 2.07) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58% ( -2.17) | 41.99% ( 2.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.57% ( -1.94) | 78.42% ( 1.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Metz |
| 2-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.81) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.34)1-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.93)3-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.33)3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.29)5-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.29)4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.29)6-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.12)5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.21)6-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.44% Total : 74.47% | 1-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.47)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.15% Total : 15.29% | 1-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.13% Total : 10.23% |
