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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Metz logo

PSG
3 - 1
Metz

Vitinha (49'), Mbappe (60', 83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Udol (72')
Herelle (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-1 PSG
Sunday, December 17 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Metz

All competitions
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Montpellier
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 4-0 Metz

 It would not be beyond the realm of possibility for Metz to switch to a defence-heavy setup in a bid to quell the PSG strikeforce, who are normally in a merciless mood at the Parc des Princes, but their resistance should ultimately prove futile. Profligacy has harmed Enrique's men heading into the Christmas period, but a straightforward success - their 14th in a row against Metz - should come their way before the New Year celebrations commence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Metz had a probability of 10.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 3-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Metz win it was 1-2 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMetz
74.47% (-0.545 -0.55) 15.29% (0.553 0.55) 10.23% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.68% (-2.479 -2.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.26% (-2.966 -2.97)32.73% (2.965 2.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.58% (-3.506 -3.51)54.41% (3.504 3.5)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.55% (-0.78099999999999 -0.78)7.45% (0.78 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.21% (-2.069 -2.07)26.79% (2.068 2.07)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58% (-2.169 -2.17)41.99% (2.169 2.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.57% (-1.937 -1.94)78.42% (1.936 1.94)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 74.47%
    Metz 10.23%
    Draw 15.29%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMetz
2-0 @ 10.54% (0.806 0.81)
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.189 0.19)
3-0 @ 9.13% (0.345 0.34)
1-0 @ 8.12% (0.932 0.93)
3-1 @ 7.93% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-0 @ 5.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.15% (-0.332 -0.33)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.287 -0.29)
5-0 @ 3.08% (-0.141 -0.14)
5-1 @ 2.67% (-0.294 -0.29)
4-2 @ 2.23% (-0.289 -0.29)
6-0 @ 1.33% (-0.12 -0.12)
5-2 @ 1.16% (-0.206 -0.21)
6-1 @ 1.16% (-0.182 -0.18)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 74.47%
1-1 @ 7.05% (0.428 0.43)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-0 @ 3.13% (0.471 0.47)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 15.29%
1-2 @ 3.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.71% (0.269 0.27)
0-2 @ 1.18% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 10.23%

How you voted: PSG vs Metz

Paris Saint-Germain
83.8%
Draw
8.1%
Metz
8.1%
37
Head to Head
May 21, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 38
PSG
5-0
Metz
Mbappe (25', 28', 50'), Neymar (31'), Di Maria (67')
Neymar (72')

Traore (23')
Traore (58')
> Preview
Sep 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 7
Metz
1-2
PSG
Kouyate (39')
Ndiaga Yade (19'), Maiga (68'), Bronn (73'), Centonze (90+1'), Oukidja (90+6')
Bronn (90+1'), Antonetti (90+2')
Hakimi (5', 90+4')
Mendes (69'), Neymar (90+6')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 34
Metz
1-3
PSG
Mbappe (4', 59'), Centonze (46'), Icardi (89' pen.)
Angban (15'), Verratti (37'), Mbappe (58'), Kurzawa (60'), Herrera (79')
> Preview
Sep 16, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 1
PSG
1-0
Metz
Draxler (90+3')
Diallo (1'), Draxler (56')
Diallo (65')

Maiga (46'), Centonze (61')
> Preview
Apr 4, 2020 11pm
Gameweek 31
PSG
P-P
Metz
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille16103337191833
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1677226161028
5Lyon168442820828
6Nice1676331211027
7Lens166641915424
8Toulouse167361817124
9Auxerre166372426-221
10StrasbourgStrasbourg165562828020
11Reims165562121020
12Brest166192429-519
13Rennes165292223-117
14Angers164481626-1016
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1651101535-2016
16NantesNantes163671825-715
17Le HavreLe Havre1640121234-2212
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1623111539-249
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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