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Ligue 1
PSG logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Nice

PSG
2 - 3
Nice

Mbappe (29', 87')
Barcola (83'), Skriniar (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Moffi (21', 68'), Laborde (53')
Thuram (35'), Bard (63'), Moffi (70'), Bulka (71'), Lotomba (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-4 PSG
Sunday, September 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Nice

All competitions
Last Game: Nice 2-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, September 3 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 Nice

 With Mbappe not quite at 100% and several international players possibly being kept in reserve ahead of two blockbuster fixtures, Friday's showdown has the potential to be a particularly uncomfortable one for PSG. Nice are seldom blown away on rival territory, and the rapid Moffi should ask several questions of Les Parisiens' permeable backline, but we still have faith in the champions to record a third win on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Nice had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNice
51.67% (0.065000000000005 0.07) 23.4% (0.0010000000000012 0) 24.93% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.93% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.07% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)43.93% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.68% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)66.31% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)17.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.81% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)47.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.63% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)31.37% (0.095000000000002 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.26% (-0.113 -0.11)67.74% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 51.67%
    Nice 24.93%
    Draw 23.39%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNice
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 9.46% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.37% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.53%
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 51.67%
1-1 @ 10.96%
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.35% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.2% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 3.59% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 24.93%

How you voted: PSG vs Nice

Paris Saint-Germain
82.0%
Draw
13.3%
Nice
4.7%
150
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 30
Nice
0-2
PSG
Messi (26'), Ramos (76')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 9
PSG
2-1
Nice
Messi (29'), Mbappe (83')
Laborde (47')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Nice
1-0
PSG
Delort (88')
Lemina (33')
> Preview
Jan 31, 2022 8.15pm
Round of 16
PSG
0-0
Nice
 Nice win 6-5 on penalties
Pereira (24'), Kehrer (54'), Dagba (71')
Gouiri (29'), Boudaoui (60'), Schneiderlin (76'), Todibo (77'), Atal (79')
> Preview
Dec 1, 2021 8.05pm
Gameweek 16
PSG
0-0
Nice
Pereira (31'), di Maria (76')
Kluivert (66'), Bard (88')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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