Nice0 - 2PSG
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We said: Nice 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain
A third successive league defeat seems scarcely believable for a team with PSG's talent, but it will not be easy on the French coast for them here. Nice have been on a superb unbeaten run, but with a huge European clash coming up, any distractions could be costly against Kylian Mbappe and co. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Nice had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Nice win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
28.94% ( -0.1) | 23.2% ( -0.02) | 47.86% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 61.21% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.12% ( 0.04) | 39.89% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.75% ( 0.04) | 62.25% ( -0.04) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.69% ( -0.04) | 26.31% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.55% ( -0.06) | 61.45% ( 0.06) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% ( 0.06) | 16.94% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.99% ( 0.1) | 47.01% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 28.94% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.2% | 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.55% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.71% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.17% Total : 47.86% |
