Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Nice had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Nice win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
28.94% ( -0.1) | 23.2% ( -0.02) | 47.86% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 61.21% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.12% ( 0.04) | 39.89% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.75% ( 0.04) | 62.25% ( -0.04) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.69% ( -0.04) | 26.31% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.55% ( -0.06) | 61.45% ( 0.06) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.06% ( 0.06) | 16.94% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.99% ( 0.1) | 47.01% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 28.94% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.2% | 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.55% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.71% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.17% Total : 47.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 24 |
8 | Toulouse | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 24 |
9 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
15 | Angers | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 39 | -24 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |