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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
PSG logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre
Strasbourg

PSG
3 - 0
Strasbourg

Mbappe (10' pen.), Soler (31'), Ruiz (77')
Kang-in (82'), Ndour (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 Nantes
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Strasbourg

PSG have often struggled against weaker sides in Ligue 1 so far this season, but their dominant history over Strasbourg should continue here. Two defeats before the break may have dented confidence slightly for Vieira's men, and this remains the most daunting fixture in French football so a defeat is on the cards for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 16.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawStrasbourg
64.31% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 19.58%16.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)38.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.9% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)61.1% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.6% (0.0010000000000048 0)11.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.85% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)36.15% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.84% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)37.16% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)73.95% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 64.31%
    Strasbourg 16.11%
    Draw 19.58%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawStrasbourg
2-0 @ 9.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 7.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.93% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 64.31%
1-1 @ 9.11%
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.24% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.58%
1-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 4.19%
0-2 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 16.11%

How you voted: PSG vs Strasbourg

Paris Saint-Germain
93.3%
Draw
0.0%
Strasbourg
6.7%
30
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Strasbourg
1-1
PSG
Gameiro (79')
Diarra (23')
Messi (59')
Vitinha (6'), Verratti (75')
Dec 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
PSG
2-1
Strasbourg
Marquinhos (14'), Mbappe (90+6' pen.)
Marquinhos (51' og.)
Apr 29, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 35
Strasbourg
3-3
PSG
Gameiro (3'), Verratti (75' og.), Caci (90+1')
Bellegarde (8'), Prcic (41'), Lienard (60')
Mbappe (23', 68'), Hakimi (64')
Neymar (73'), Kimpembe (90+2'), Donnarumma (90+5')
Aug 14, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 2
PSG
4-2
Strasbourg
Icardi (3'), Mbappe (25'), Draxler (27'), Sarabia (86')
Ebimbe (51')
Gameiro (53'), Ajorque (64')
Fila (60'), Djiku (79'), Bellegarde (90+1')
Djiku (81')
Apr 10, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 32
Strasbourg
1-4
PSG
Moise Sahi (63')
Mbappe (16'), Sarabia (27'), Kean (45'), Paredes (79')
Kean (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG19145049173247
2Marseille19114440231737
3MonacoMonaco19104532221034
4Nice1996438251333
5Lille1988329191032
6Lyon198653023730
7Lens198652318530
8Brest199192931-228
9StrasbourgStrasbourg197663331227
10Toulouse197482021-125
11Auxerre196582529-423
12Reims195772527-222
13Angers196492128-722
14NantesNantes193972229-718
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1953111839-2118
16Rennes1952122630-417
17Montpellier HSCMontpellier1943122044-2415
18Le HavreLe Havre1941141438-2413


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