Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Toulouse |
33.73% | 26.4% ( -0.05) | 39.86% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 52.55% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.83% ( 0.22) | 52.17% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.12% ( 0.19) | 73.88% ( -0.19) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.72% ( 0.11) | 29.28% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.75% ( 0.13) | 65.24% ( -0.13) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.3% ( 0.13) | 25.7% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.39% ( 0.17) | 60.61% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Toulouse |
1-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 33.73% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 39.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |