Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Clermont |
40.1% | 27.46% | 32.44% |
Both teams to score 48.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.38% | 56.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.41% | 77.59% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.36% | 27.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.82% | 63.18% |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.62% | 32.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.1% | 68.9% |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 11.5% 2-1 @ 8.34% 2-0 @ 7.4% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.09% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.95% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 10.09% 1-2 @ 7.32% 0-2 @ 5.69% 1-3 @ 2.75% 0-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 33 |
2 | Marseille | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 26 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Lille | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Lyon | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 22 |
6 | Nice | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 20 |
7 | Lens | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
8 | Auxerre | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Reims | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Toulouse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Brest | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 14 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 13 |
14 | Angers | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 13 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 30 | -19 | 13 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 12 |
17 | NantesNantes | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |