Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lyon |
27.25% | 25.03% | 47.71% |
Both teams to score 53.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.81% | 49.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.75% | 71.25% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.68% | 32.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.17% | 68.82% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.35% | 20.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.78% | 53.21% |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 7.54% 2-1 @ 6.72% 2-0 @ 4.26% 3-1 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 2% 3-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.62% Total : 27.25% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.67% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 10.52% 1-2 @ 9.38% 0-2 @ 8.3% 1-3 @ 4.93% 0-3 @ 4.37% 2-3 @ 2.79% 1-4 @ 1.95% 0-4 @ 1.72% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.65% Total : 47.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 26 |
2 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Nice | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
6 | Lyon | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
7 | Lens | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
8 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Auxerre | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Brest | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Rennes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 4 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |