Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Lorient |
41.21% ( 0.77) | 26.66% ( -0.23) | 32.14% ( -0.54) |
Both teams to score 51.29% ( 0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.43% ( 0.77) | 53.57% ( -0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.92% ( 0.65) | 75.08% ( -0.64) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.38% ( 0.77) | 25.62% ( -0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.49% ( 1.03) | 60.51% ( -1.03) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.96% ( 0.03) | 31.04% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.65% ( 0.03) | 67.35% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.35% Total : 41.2% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 3% Total : 32.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 24 |
8 | Toulouse | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 24 |
9 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
15 | Angers | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 39 | -24 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |