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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Oct 23, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadium Municipal
Strasbourg

Toulouse
2 - 2
Strasbourg

Rouault (44'), Dejaegere (55')
Nicolaisen (40')
Nicolaisen (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mothiba (65'), Gameiro (73')
Lienard (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 3-2 Angers
Sunday, October 16 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-3 Lille
Friday, October 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 3-1 Strasbourg

With this being their second-best attacking start to a Ligue 1 season in 28 years, Toulouse have found their form in attack after a sluggish start, and could take advantage of a Strasbourg defence drained of confidence. With Stephan now facing the prospect of losing his job if Strasbourg do not get out of the relegation zone soon, they must improve rapidly. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
ToulouseDrawStrasbourg
45.35% (0.325 0.32) 24.98% (-0.066999999999997 -0.07) 29.67% (-0.256 -0.26)
Both teams to score 55.55% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.46% (0.174 0.17)47.54% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.26% (0.162 0.16)69.74% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79% (0.218 0.22)21% (-0.217 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.23% (0.34 0.34)53.77% (-0.339 -0.34)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)29.68% (0.089000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.27% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)65.73% (0.11 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 45.35%
    Strasbourg 29.67%
    Draw 24.98%
ToulouseDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.95% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 45.35%
1-1 @ 11.81% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 7.57% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.18% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.6% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 29.67%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Strasbourg

Toulouse
76.7%
Draw
16.3%
Strasbourg
7.0%
43
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2020 6pm
Dec 7, 2019 7pm
Jan 13, 2019 4pm
Toulouse
1-2
Strasbourg
Sanogo (29' pen.)
Bostock (45')
Ajorque (17'), Sissoko (64')
Martin (36')
Nov 3, 2018 7pm
Strasbourg
1-1
Toulouse
Mothiba (51')
Sissoko (20'), Lala (74'), Mitrovic (90')
Gradel (72')
Garcia (48')
Mar 17, 2018 7pm
Toulouse
2-2
Strasbourg
Sanogo (89', 90')
Diop (11'), Yago (23')
Blayac (46'), Yago (90')
N'Dour (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG13103037112633
2Marseille1382329171226
3MonacoMonaco1382322121026
4Lille136522113823
5Lyon136432317622
6Nice135532416820
7Lens135531512320
8Auxerre136162121019
9Reims135352018218
10Toulouse135351514118
11Brest135171923-416
12Rennes134271819-114
13StrasbourgStrasbourg133462227-513
14Angers133461421-713
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne134181130-1913
16Le HavreLe Havre134091024-1412
17NantesNantes132561520-511
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier132291334-218


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