Ligue 2 | Gameweek 8
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari
Bastia1 - 4Pau
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Pau.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Angers 2-0 Bastia
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Pau 0-3 Annecy
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 56.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Pau had a probability of 19.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bastia | Draw | Pau |
56.22% ( 0.11) | 24.63% ( 0.18) | 19.15% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 45.64% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.86% ( -0.99) | 55.14% ( 1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.61% ( -0.82) | 76.39% ( 0.83) |
| Bastia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.46% ( -0.34) | 19.54% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.56% ( -0.56) | 51.44% ( 0.56) |
| Pau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.72% ( -0.9) | 43.28% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.48% ( -0.77) | 79.52% ( 0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
Bastia 56.21%
Pau 19.15%
Draw 24.62%
| Bastia | Draw | Pau |
| 1-0 @ 13.8% ( 0.38) 2-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.68% Total : 56.21% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.66% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.81% Total : 19.15% |
Head to Head
May 20, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 36
Pau
2-6
Bastia
Jan 13, 2023 7.45pm
Feb 5, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 23
Bastia
1-1
Pau
Aug 21, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 5
Pau
2-0
Bastia
