MX23RW : Monday, November 25 13:09:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 8
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari

Bastia
1 - 4
Pau

Conte (62')
Roncaglia (48'), Maggiotti (85')
Santelli (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Saivet (27', 79'), Bassouamina (54'), Njoh (82')
Koudou (40'), Ruiz (80'), Njoh (85')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Pau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Angers 2-0 Bastia
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Pau 0-3 Annecy
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 56.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Pau had a probability of 19.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
BastiaDrawPau
56.22% (0.112 0.11) 24.63% (0.179 0.18) 19.15% (-0.286 -0.29)
Both teams to score 45.64% (-0.92 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.86% (-0.994 -0.99)55.14% (0.996 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.61% (-0.823 -0.82)76.39% (0.827 0.83)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.46% (-0.336 -0.34)19.54% (0.339 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.56% (-0.556 -0.56)51.44% (0.559 0.56)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.72% (-0.902 -0.9)43.28% (0.906 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.48% (-0.766 -0.77)79.52% (0.767 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 56.21%
    Pau 19.15%
    Draw 24.62%
BastiaDrawPau
1-0 @ 13.8% (0.38 0.38)
2-0 @ 11.27% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.14% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.095 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.5% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.095 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 56.21%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.45% (0.321 0.32)
2-2 @ 3.95% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 7.08% (0.097 0.1)
1-2 @ 4.84% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 19.15%

Head to Head
May 20, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 36
Pau
2-6
Bastia
George (17'), Bassouamina (78' pen.)
Ruiz (74'), Sow (87')
Santelli (20'), Magri (23', 68', 85'), Guidi (56'), Palun (75')
Magri (39')
Jan 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Bastia
1-0
Pau
Santelli (77')
Feb 5, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 23
Bastia
1-1
Pau
Santelli (50')
Magri (48'), Ducrocq (67'), Bocognano (74')
Essende (56')
Essende (55')
Aug 21, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 5
Pau
2-0
Bastia
Koffi (38'), Assifuah (49')
Daubin (61'), Gomis (70')

Schur (28'), Santelli (34')
Guidi (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris FCParis FC1484222111128
2Lorient1483326151127
3Metz147432213925
4DunkerqueDunkerque138142218425
5Annecy146532118323
6GuingampGuingamp147162419522
7AmiensAmiens146261718-120
8Laval145452116519
9PauPau145451718-119
10Grenoble145361715218
11Bastia133821313017
12Rodez AFRodez AF144462725216
13Clermont144461316-316
14Caen144371720-315
15Troyes144371117-615
16Ajaccio124261013-314
17Red Star144281327-1414
18Martigues14239829-219


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!