Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Troyes.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Amiens 2-1 Bastia
Saturday, August 19 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, August 19 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Grenoble 0-0 Troyes
Saturday, August 19 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, August 19 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 45.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 26.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bastia | Draw | Troyes |
45.78% ( -0.08) | 27.55% ( 0.02) | 26.66% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 45.88% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.87% ( -0.03) | 59.13% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.43% ( -0.02) | 79.57% ( 0.02) |
| Bastia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% ( -0.05) | 25.81% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.24% ( -0.08) | 60.76% ( 0.07) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.84% ( 0.04) | 38.15% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.08% ( 0.04) | 74.92% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Bastia 45.78%
Troyes 26.66%
Draw 27.55%
| Bastia | Draw | Troyes |
| 1-0 @ 13.33% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 45.78% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 1.61% Total : 26.66% |
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2015 7pm
Feb 23, 2013 7pm
Troyes
0-0
Bastia
Yatabaré (61'), Marchal (68')
Oct 6, 2012 7pm
