Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.39%) and 1-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (12.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.