Ligue 2 | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2025 at 1pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari
Bastia4 - 0Ajaccio
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Ajaccio.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 15.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.
Result | ||
Bastia | Draw | Ajaccio |
60.5% ( -0.02) | 23.9% ( 0.02) | 15.6% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 41.39% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.67% ( -0.08) | 57.33% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.84% ( -0.07) | 78.16% ( 0.06) |
Bastia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.25% ( -0.04) | 18.74% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.87% ( -0.06) | 50.13% ( 0.06) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.93% ( -0.05) | 49.06% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16% ( -0.04) | 84% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Bastia 60.5%
Ajaccio 15.6%
Draw 23.89%
Bastia | Draw | Ajaccio |
1-0 @ 15.39% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 12.89% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.19% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 60.5% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 0-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.47% Total : 23.89% | 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.9% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.33% 1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 15.6% |
How you voted: Bastia vs Ajaccio
Bastia
66.7%Draw
33.3%Ajaccio
0.0%6
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 10
Ajaccio
0-0
Bastia
Everson (1'), Youssouf (20'), Huard (52'), Bamba (67'), Bamba (68'), Ibayi (78')
Puch-Herrantz (88')
Puch-Herrantz (88')
Janneh (80')
Aug 3, 2024 5pm
Oct 2, 2023 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 28
Ajaccio
0-1
Bastia
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-27 16:49:48
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Lorient | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 40 |
2 | Metz | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 30 | 14 | 16 | 37 |
3 | Paris FCParis FC | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 37 |
4 | GuingampGuingamp | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 35 |
5 | Laval | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 33 |
6 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 33 |
7 | Annecy | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 33 |
8 | PauPau | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Grenoble | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 27 |
10 | Bastia | 20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 26 |
11 | AmiensAmiens | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 26 |
12 | Clermont | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 24 |
13 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 23 |
14 | Red Star | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 22 |
15 | Troyes | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 21 |
16 | Ajaccio | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 21 |
17 | Caen | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 15 |
18 | Martigues | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 15 |
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