Ligue 2 | Gameweek 16
Dec 13, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Du Hameau Idron 1
AC Ajaccio

Pau
1 - 0
Ajaccio

Ruiz (3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Khelifa (27'), Ibayi (65')
Khelifa (80')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Pau and Ajaccio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pau

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Rodez AF 1-0 Pau
Friday, December 6 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Ajaccio

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-2 Paris FC
Saturday, December 7 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 50.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pau in this match.

Result
PauDrawAjaccio
50.23% (0.379 0.38)26.59% (-0.149 -0.15)23.18% (-0.23 -0.23)
Both teams to score 45.48% (0.165 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.9% (0.338 0.34)58.1% (-0.335 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.23% (0.262 0.26)78.77% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (0.318 0.32)23.25% (-0.316 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.84% (0.459 0.46)57.16% (-0.46 -0.46)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.26% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)40.74% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.67% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)77.33% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Pau 50.22%
    Ajaccio 23.18%
    Draw 26.58%
PauDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 13.81% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 10.08% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.9% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 50.22%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.47% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 8.5% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-2 @ 5.57% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 23.18%

How you voted: Pau vs Ajaccio

Pau
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Ajaccio
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 31
Pau
1-1
Ajaccio
Ahoussou (23')
Boli (38')
Mangani (6')
Strata (54'), Sakhi (69')
Oct 21, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 11
Ajaccio
2-0
Pau
Touzghar (52'), Mangani (63')

Kouassi (68'), Chahiri (75')
Apr 9, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 32
Ajaccio
2-1
Pau
Krasso (59', 69')
Krasso (63')
Gomis (90+3')
Essende (30'), Armand (69')
Oct 30, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 14
Pau
1-0
Ajaccio
Lobry (55')
Sylvestre (44'), Kouassi (52')

El Idrissy (39'), Coutadeur (74'), Courtet (75'), Gonzalez (81')
May 1, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 36
Pau
0-0
Ajaccio
Diarra (80')
Marchetti (80')