Ligue 2 | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Caen4 - 1Guingamp
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Guingamp.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dijon 2-2 Caen
Saturday, August 13 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, August 13 at 6pm in Ligue 2
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Guingamp | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Caen | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Bastia | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Last Game: Guingamp 0-0 Paris FC
Saturday, August 13 at 2pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, August 13 at 2pm in Ligue 2
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Guingamp | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Caen | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Bastia | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Guingamp had a probability of 27.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Guingamp win it was 0-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caen | Draw | Guingamp |
43.49% ( 0.06) | 29.05% ( 0.12) | 27.46% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 42.51% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.36% ( -0.44) | 63.63% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.08% ( -0.32) | 82.92% ( 0.32) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.86% ( -0.18) | 29.14% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.93% ( -0.23) | 65.07% ( 0.23) |
| Guingamp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60% ( -0.41) | 40% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.34% ( -0.38) | 76.65% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
Caen 43.49%
Guingamp 27.46%
Draw 29.03%
| Caen | Draw | Guingamp |
| 1-0 @ 14.37% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.48% Total : 43.49% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.03% | 0-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.38% Total : 27.46% |
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 6pm
Guingamp
2-1
Caen
Pierrot (71'), Merghem (81')
Sivis (77')
Sivis (77')
Dec 11, 2021 6pm
Caen
2-0
Guingamp
Da Costa (14'), Mendy (81' pen.)
Lepenant (65')
Lepenant (65')
Feb 22, 2021 7.45pm
Oct 24, 2020 2pm
Apr 21, 2020 7pm
