Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 47.44%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 1-0 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.