Ligue 2 | Gameweek 11
Oct 21, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
Ajaccio2 - 0Pau
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Ajaccio and Pau.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Etienne 0-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, October 7 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, October 7 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Quevilly 2-2 Pau
Saturday, October 7 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, October 7 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 46.89%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Pau had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajaccio | Draw | Pau |
46.89% ( -0.85) | 28.01% ( 0.23) | 25.1% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 43.53% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.47% ( -0.36) | 61.53% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.61% ( -0.27) | 81.39% ( 0.27) |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.64% ( -0.58) | 26.36% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.5% ( -0.79) | 61.5% ( 0.79) |
| Pau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.11% ( 0.36) | 40.89% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.54% ( 0.32) | 77.46% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
Ajaccio 46.89%
Pau 25.1%
Draw 28%
| Ajaccio | Draw | Pau |
| 1-0 @ 14.37% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.91% Total : 46.89% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 3.83% Other @ 0.55% Total : 28% | 0-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.26% Total : 25.1% |
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 6pm
Oct 30, 2021 6pm
May 1, 2021 7pm
Jan 5, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 18
Ajaccio
4-1
Pau
