Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for DC United had a probability of 15.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atlanta United | Draw | DC United |
65.12% ( 5.83) | 19.27% ( -1.93) | 15.61% ( -3.9) |
Both teams to score 55.58% ( -1.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.65% ( 2.13) | 38.35% ( -2.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.37% ( 2.22) | 60.63% ( -2.22) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.95% ( 2.27) | 11.05% ( -2.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.6% ( 4.78) | 35.4% ( -4.78) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.48% ( -3.14) | 37.51% ( 3.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.7% ( -3.22) | 74.3% ( 3.22) |
Score Analysis |
Atlanta United | Draw | DC United |
2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.75) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 7.38% ( 1.13) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.56) 4-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.92) 4-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.62) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.16) 5-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.52) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.4) Other @ 4.35% Total : 65.12% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.9) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.47) 0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.43) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.27% | 1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.88) 0-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.82) 0-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.62) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.44) Other @ 2.15% Total : 15.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |