Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for DC United had a probability of 15.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.