Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.