We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Atlanta United
The Galaxy are trending downward right now, and it is difficult to feel a lot of confidence in their defensive set-up given how they have fared in recent games.
Fortunately for them, Atlanta are not looking consistently potent in the attacking third when you consider the high-priced talent on the roster.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.