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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Jul 10, 2022 at 12am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Austin FC

Atlanta
0 - 3
Austin


Araujo (25')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Felipe (9'), Finlay (17'), Driussi (57')
Gallagher (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, July 3 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 2-3 Austin
Tuesday, July 5 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-2 Austin FC

Even though they always seem to leave it late, when Austin play with the kind of potency that we are seeing, it is difficult for any side to contain them. When you add to that the fact that the Five Stripes continuously suffer from at least one or two miscues each game, it would not be a surprise to see the Verde and Black win a fourth successive road fixture in what will be the first-ever meeting between both sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 17.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawAustin FC
60.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 21.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 17.86% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.13% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.03% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)43.97% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.64%66.35% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.98% (0.0010000000000048 0)14.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.45% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)41.55% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.78% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)38.21% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)74.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 60.74%
    Austin FC 17.86%
    Draw 21.39%
Atlanta UnitedDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 10.52%
2-0 @ 10.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.13%
4-2 @ 1.54%
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 60.74%
1-1 @ 10.12%
0-0 @ 5.36%
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.39%
0-1 @ 5.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 2.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 17.86%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Austin

Atlanta United
Draw
Austin FC
Atlanta United
34.2%
Draw
10.5%
Austin FC
55.3%
38
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew7430105515
2Inter MiamiInter Miami6420126614
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7412138513
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC7412127513
5FC CincinnatiCincinnati741299013
6Orlando City73221512311
7Chicago Fire73221412211
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls732297211
9Nashville SCNashville7313107310
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta72321112-19
11New York City FCNY City72231011-18
12DC United7133917-86
13New England RevolutionNew England611437-44
14Toronto7034713-63
15CF MontrealMontreal7025412-82

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver7511125716
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd7421117414
3Austin FCAustin741253213
4Portland TimbersPortland732298111
5Dallas73221010011
6Colorado RapidsColorado732289-111
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes73131510510
8Los Angeles FCLos Angeles7304810-29
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake7304711-49
10St Louis City72234408
11Seattle SoundersSeattle7133811-36
12Houston DynamoHouston7124511-65
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas7115812-44
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy7025514-92
15San Diego FC00000000


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