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Major League Soccer
Jun 19, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Saputo Stadium
Austin FC

Montreal
0 - 1
Austin

FT(HT: 0-0)
Urruti (67')
Pereira (6'), Urruti (45+1'), Cascante (48'), Gallagher (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-1 Austin
Sunday, May 29 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 2-1 Austin FC

The sides have had no difficulty finding the back of the net, so we expect goals at both ends in the one. That said, we also fancy Montreal to narrowly edge out Austin and emerge triumphant come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 56.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
CF MontrealDrawAustin FC
56.92% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04) 21.56% (0.0019999999999989 0) 21.52% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 58.91% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.68% (0.034999999999997 0.03)39.32% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.35% (0.037999999999997 0.04)61.65% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.33%13.67% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.13% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)40.86%
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.23% (0.050999999999988 0.05)31.76% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.81% (0.058 0.06)68.19% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 56.92%
    Austin FC 21.52%
    Draw 21.56%
CF MontrealDrawAustin FC
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.64% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.6% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 3.26%
4-0 @ 2.84% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.3%
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 56.92%
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.56%
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.86% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 21.52%

How you voted: Montreal vs Austin

CF Montreal
75.9%
Draw
6.9%
Austin FC
17.2%
29
rhs 2.0
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