Major League Soccer

May 30, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Bold Stadium

Austin
0 - 2
Portland

Zardes (47'), Jimenez (50'), Hines-Ike (64'), Fodrey (74'), Pereira (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Evander (45+3'), Rodriguez (66' pen.)
Paredes (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Austin
Sunday, May 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, May 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Austin FC 2-0 Portland Timbers

Austin will be licking their lips as they take on an inconsistent Portland side who have failed to win their last seven away matches. Wolff's men have been near impenetrable at the Q2 Stadium this season and we see them claiming all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Portland Timbers
50.18% ( 0.08)	22.68% ( 0.02)	27.14% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 61.62% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.29% (

-0.16)

38.71% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.98% (

-0.17)

61.02% (

0.17)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.34% (

-0.03)

15.66% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.31% (

-0.05)

44.69% (

0.05)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.06% (

-0.15)

26.94% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.73% (

-0.2)

62.27% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 50.18%

Portland Timbers 27.14%

Draw 22.67%

Austin FC	Draw	Portland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 50.18%	1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.67%	1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 27.14%