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Atlanta United
Austin FC
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FC Dallas
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
Austin FC

Dallas
2 - 1
Austin

Musa (4'), Ferreira (56')
Illarramendi (8'), Fraser (43'), Ntsabeleng (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Driussi (84' pen.)
Pereira (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 3-1 Dallas
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 Austin
Sunday, May 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 1-1 Austin FC

Dallas have been poor this year but both seven of their eight points have come on home soil. The hosts also have an ongoing unbeaten run at home against the visitors, who have struggled on the road as well. We expect a draw here as the home side are not in a great moment. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 21.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
DallasDrawAustin FC
55.17% (-0.302 -0.3) 23.55% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 21.28% (0.239 0.24)
Both teams to score 51.93% (0.15 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (0.029000000000003 0.03)48.4% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (0.026 0.03)70.54% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.59% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)17.4% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.16% (-0.173 -0.17)47.83% (0.17 0.17)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.87% (0.256 0.26)37.12% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.09% (0.254 0.25)73.91% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 55.16%
    Austin FC 21.28%
    Draw 23.54%
DallasDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.88% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.76% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.52% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 55.16%
1-1 @ 11.19% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.54%
0-1 @ 6.4% (0.036 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 21.28%

How you voted: Dallas vs Austin

Dallas
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Austin FC
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2024 12.30am
Austin
2-1
Dallas
Cascante (54'), Rubio (70')
Wolff (20'), Wolff (24'), Rubio (58'), Cascante (88')
Ansah (51')
Paes (19'), Burgess (90+9')
Aug 27, 2023 1.30am
Dallas
1-0
Austin
Burgess (90+7')
Arriola (13'), Farfan (27'), Jimenez (56'), Illarramendi (74')

Pereira (45')
Pereira (67')
Jun 22, 2023 4.07am
Austin
3-0
Dallas
Finlay (17'), Fagundez (42'), Zardes (58')
Wolff (26'), Finlay (85')

Quignon (25')
May 14, 2023 1.30am
Oct 24, 2022 1am
Conference Semi-Finals
Austin
2-1
Dallas
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010


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