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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Field
Portland Timbers

Minnesota Utd
2 - 1
Portland

Lod (65'), Sang-bin (82')
Tapias (42'), Sang-bin (90+8'), Trapp (90+13')
Tapias (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodriguez (17')
Rodriguez (42'), Evander (44'), Araujo (67'), Chara (67'), Asprilla (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-2 LA Galaxy
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Last Game: Portland 4-2 Earthquakes
Thursday, May 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 2-1 Portland Timbers

 Portland may be high on confidence after a fantastic comeback victory during midweek, but Ramsay's men have proved to be a difficult team to beat in their matches this season. Minnesota have won both the last two meetings between these sides, while they have not lost at home in this fixture in any of the last seven, leading us to believe the hosts will be victorious in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Minnesota United in this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawPortland Timbers
52.83% (-0.59 -0.59) 22.11% (0.065000000000001 0.07) 25.05% (0.519 0.52)
Both teams to score 61.55% (0.357 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.11% (0.211 0.21)37.89% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.85% (0.225 0.23)60.14% (-0.23 -0.23)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.53% (-0.119 -0.12)14.47% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.56% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)42.44% (0.223 0.22)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96% (0.515 0.52)28.04% (-0.519 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.31% (0.651 0.65)63.69% (-0.655 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 52.83%
    Portland Timbers 25.05%
    Draw 22.12%
Minnesota UnitedDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.84% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.58% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-1 @ 6.21% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.95% (0.025 0.03)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.36% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 52.83%
1-1 @ 9.97% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 6.13% (0.063999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.06% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.67% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.12%
1-2 @ 6.34% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-1 @ 5.16% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.28% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 25.05%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Portland

Minnesota United
55.6%
Draw
33.3%
Portland Timbers
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2023 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
4-1
Portland
Chara (43' og.), Reynoso (45+4', 77'), Hlongwane (74')
Tapias (13'), Heath (14'), Boxall (16'), Dotson (21'), Taylor (34'), Reynoso (73')
Boli (60')
Paredes (90+1')
> Preview
May 21, 2023 3.30am
Portland
0-1
Minnesota Utd

McGraw (63'), Bravo (67'), Zuparic (84')
Hlongwane (90+5')
Boxall (82'), Hlongwane (90+5')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2022 3am
Portland
1-0
Minnesota Utd
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 8pm
Minnesota Utd
4-4
Portland
Fragapane (9'), Hlongwane (21'), Amarilla (41', 69')
Boxall (53'), Arriaga (72'), Benitez (75'), Reynoso (90'), Lod (90+3')
Blanco (1', 50'), Niezgoda (53'), Lawrence (65' og.)
Chara (18'), Chara (63'), Ayala (73'), Asprilla (83')
> Preview
Nov 21, 2021 10.30pm
Portland
3-1
Minnesota Utd
Mabiala (43'), Blanco (47', 66')
Blanco (19'), Mabiala (86')
Fragapane (11')
Trapp (32'), Gasper (40'), Boxall (73'), Fragapane (85'), Rosales (86'), Dibassy (90+7')
> Preview
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