We said: Austin FC 3-1 New York Red Bulls
Given the way New York defend, so deep in their own zone, we expect the Verde and Black to have their share of quality scoring opportunities, and they know better than most in MLS how to find the back of the net.
The Red Bulls are fantastic in transition, but Austin are pretty good at defending, and can count on the splendid goalkeeping of Brad Stuver, who has made several key saves throughout the year.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.