We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 3-2 San Jose Earthquakes
The Caps may have caught a break with that disallowed goal a week ago, but that was perhaps their best performance of the season as they looked more dangerous going forward and created some effective pressing and counterattacks.
Things have looked a lot better in San Jose, but this team still seem to struggle on the road and are often caught out of position defensively, while appearing overwhelmed when marching into foreign territory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.