Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for DC United had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.