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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Mar 12, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Talen Energy Stadium
Chicago Fire

Philadelphia
1 - 0
Chicago Fire

Torres (90')
Andres Martinez (45+2'), Elliott (60'), Bedoya (74'), Sullivan (90+6'), Torres (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Teran (12'), Kamara (38'), Navarro (42'), Herbers (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, March 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 NY City
Sunday, March 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 3-1 Chicago Fire

 Philadelphia may have an eye on Alianza's visit but one of the favourites to top the Eastern Conference are unlikely to have their winning home run ended by a gutted Chicago Fire side this weekend.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawChicago Fire
58.38% (-0.629 -0.63) 21.65% (0.235 0.23) 19.97% (0.399 0.4)
Both teams to score 56.12% (-0.113 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.15% (-0.474 -0.47)41.85% (0.47799999999999 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.75% (-0.478 -0.48)64.25% (0.48200000000001 0.48)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.95% (-0.346 -0.35)14.05% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.38% (-0.689 -0.69)41.62% (0.693 0.69)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.3% (0.134 0.13)34.7% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.57% (0.138 0.14)71.43% (-0.134 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 58.38%
    Chicago Fire 19.97%
    Draw 21.64%
Philadelphia UnionDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.39% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-0 @ 6.14% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.19% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.01% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 58.38%
1-1 @ 10.12% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.88% (0.104 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.64%
1-2 @ 5.36% (0.084 0.08)
0-1 @ 5.16% (0.128 0.13)
0-2 @ 2.73% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 19.97%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Chicago Fire

Philadelphia Union
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
Chicago Fire
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
4-1
Chicago Fire
Gazdag (16'), Elliott (37'), Carranza (53'), Burke (82')
Bedoya (28'), Burke (85'), Carranza (86'), Mbaizo (90+1')
Mueller (49')
Pineda (3'), Shaqiri (70'), Navarro (82')
Jun 30, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
1-0
Philadelphia
Navarro (68')
Teran (51')

Andres Martinez (29'), Bedoya (35'), Wagner (77'), Gazdag (83')
Andres Martinez (72')
Aug 1, 2021 11pm
Philadelphia
1-1
Chicago Fire
Wagner (36')
Glesnes (30'), Elliott (66')
Frankowski (10')
Herbers (41'), Beric (78')
Omsberg (34')
Jun 27, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
3-3
Philadelphia
Glesnes (2' og.), Sekulic (56'), Pineda (67')
Stojanovic (44'), Navarro (62'), Herbers (81')
Sullivan (28'), Burke (45+2'), Sekulic (79' og.)
Elliott (10'), Santos (34'), Wagner (52'), Powell (55')
May 8, 2021 6pm
Chicago Fire
0-2
Philadelphia

Kappelhof (26'), Omsberg (48'), Sekulic (90+2')
Burke (51'), Glesnes (60')
Monteiro (90+2'), Bedoya (90+6'), Glesnes (90+7')
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