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Major League Soccer
DC United
Major League Soccer
Mar 12, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Audi Field
Orlando City

DC United
1 - 1
Orlando City

Durkin (80')
Rodrigo Asad (65'), Ruan (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McGuire (53')
Smith (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

All competitions
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-0 DC United
Sunday, March 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 0-0 Cincinnati
Sunday, March 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: DC United 1-1 Orlando City

 DC United had one of the worst home records in the division last season, and given the defensive stability that Orlando have shown in their opening two MLS games, we think that the spoils will be shared in an evenly-matched contest this weekend.

How to watch

You can watch DC United vs. Orlando City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
DC UnitedDrawOrlando City
44.46% (-0.798 -0.8) 26.21% (0.188 0.19) 29.33% (0.614 0.61)
Both teams to score 51.42% (-0.211 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.17% (-0.444 -0.44)52.83% (0.448 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.55% (-0.38 -0.38)74.45% (0.383 0.38)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35% (-0.572 -0.57)23.65% (0.576 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.24% (-0.832 -0.83)57.76% (0.835 0.84)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35% (0.229 0.23)32.65% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (0.254 0.25)69.19% (-0.25 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    DC United 44.46%
    Orlando City 29.33%
    Draw 26.21%
DC UnitedDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 11.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.02% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.86% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 44.46%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.136 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 8.65% (0.204 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.091 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.84% (0.144 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.0039999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 29.33%

How you voted: DC United vs Orlando City

DC United
41.7%
Draw
33.3%
Orlando City
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2022 10pm
DC United
2-1
Orlando City
Durkin (90+1'), Fountas (90+5')
Djeffal (8')
Urso (9')
Moutinho (69'), Michel (88')
Jul 5, 2022 12am
Orlando City
3-5
DC United
Torres (57'), Kara (66'), Pato (80' pen.)
Schlegel (50')
Fountas (5', 8', 51'), Smith (74'), Robertha (90+6')
Robertha (90')
Oct 3, 2021 12.30am
Orlando City
2-1
DC United
Jansson (17'), Dike (90+7')
Gressel (6')
Alfaro (20'), Canouse (67'), Hamid (90+5')
May 17, 2021 1am
DC United
0-1
Orlando City

Hines-Ike (42'), Brillant (90+7')
Pereyra (7')
Moutinho (61'), Pereyra (69'), Mueller (90+3'), Nani (90+5')
Aug 16, 2020 12.30am
Orlando City
P-P
DC United
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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