Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 49.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 23.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.