We said: DC United 2-1 Inter Miami
As Inter have conceded 19 goals in their last nine league matches, their second away win of the MLS season is surely not on the agenda this weekend. DC United can be defensively suspect too, but they should prosper on home soil, with Christian Benteke back at Wayne Rooney's disposal.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.