Major League Soccer
Jun 18, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Audi Field
We said: DC United 2-1 Real Salt Lake
DC United have been very good on their home soil over the last month, and with Benteke up front, they have a much-needed focal point to their attack, which has been working well for them.
This fixture ended 0-0 last season, but DC have come a long way since then, and while this will likely be another close encounter, we fancy the hosts to come out on top.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 51.27% . A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2% .
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.87%) . The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood .
Result DC United Draw Real Salt Lake 51.27% ( -1.15) 24.18% ( 0.08) 24.55% ( 1.07)
Both teams to score 53.96% ( 0.94)
52.33% ( 0.67) 47.67% ( -0.67)
30.13% ( 0.61) 69.87% ( -0.61)
81.4% ( -0.19) 18.59% ( 0.19)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 50.12% ( -0.32) 49.88% ( 0.32)
66.29% ( 1.3) 33.71% ( -1.3)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 29.63% ( 1.39) 70.37% ( -1.39)
DC United 51.27%
Real Salt Lake 24.55%
Draw 24.17%
DC United Draw Real Salt Lake 1-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.27% 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.17% 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.29% Total : 24.55%
How you voted: DC United vs Salt Lake
DC United
Draw
Real Salt Lake
13
rhs 2.0
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