Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
51.27% ( -1.15) | 24.18% ( 0.08) | 24.55% ( 1.07) |
Both teams to score 53.96% ( 0.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.33% ( 0.67) | 47.67% ( -0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.13% ( 0.61) | 69.87% ( -0.61) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.4% ( -0.19) | 18.59% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.12% ( -0.32) | 49.88% ( 0.32) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.29% ( 1.3) | 33.71% ( -1.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.63% ( 1.39) | 70.37% ( -1.39) |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
1-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.27% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.17% | 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.29% Total : 24.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |