Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for New York Red Bulls in this match.
Result | ||
Inter Miami | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
35.15% ( -0.13) | 26.81% ( 0.03) | 38.03% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 51.45% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.33% ( -0.12) | 53.66% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.84% ( -0.1) | 75.16% ( 0.1) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.87% ( -0.14) | 29.12% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.95% ( -0.17) | 65.05% ( 0.17) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.59% ( 0) | 27.41% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.11% ( 0) | 62.88% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Miami | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.15% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 38.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |