Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Inter Miami |
60.42% ( 0.35) | 21.41% ( -0.31) | 18.17% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 53.7% ( 0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.48% ( 1.3) | 43.51% ( -1.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.09% ( 1.27) | 65.91% ( -1.27) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.03% ( 0.54) | 13.96% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.54% ( 1.05) | 41.45% ( -1.05) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.41% ( 0.72) | 37.59% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.63% ( 0.7) | 74.37% ( -0.7) |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Inter Miami |
1-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.93% Total : 60.41% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.41% | 0-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.38% Total : 18.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |