We said: FC Cincinnati 3-2 Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo look a much-improved side under the helm of Olsen, but FC Cincinnati have home advantage, and they are undefeated in the previous two meetings between the sides.
As such, we expect a narrow home victory, with the game likely to be a high-scoring affair judging by both teams' results in pre-season.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 54.23%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 23.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.