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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Oct 30, 2023 at 12am UK
Nippert Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Cincinnati
3 - 0
NY Red Bulls

Barreal (23', 89'), Acosta (35')
Miazga (33'), Barreal (52'), Boupendza (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Manoel (76'), Nealis (89'), Amaya (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-2 Atlanta
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 5-2 Charlotte FC
Thursday, October 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 New York Red Bulls

 Given FC Cincinnati's firepower, we do not believe the Red Bulls will be nearly as aggressive on Sunday as they were against Charlotte earlier this week. The Red Bulls' strength still lies in their defensive shape, but the Orange and Blue know how to win close encounters, and we expect them to eventually break through this weekend.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. New York Red Bulls and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 50.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York Red Bulls
50.36% (0.858 0.86) 25.21% (0.032999999999998 0.03) 24.43% (-0.891 -0.89)
Both teams to score 50.65% (-0.963 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.02% (-0.84 -0.84)51.98% (0.84 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.28% (-0.731 -0.73)73.72% (0.73099999999999 0.73)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.35% (0.022000000000006 0.02)20.65% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.77% (0.033000000000001 0.03)53.23% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.84% (-1.232 -1.23)36.16% (1.232 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.05% (-1.276 -1.28)72.95% (1.275 1.27)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 50.36%
    New York Red Bulls 24.43%
    Draw 25.2%
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 11.78% (0.4 0.4)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.29% (0.319 0.32)
3-1 @ 4.97% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.89% (0.171 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.93% (0.069 0.07)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 50.36%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.47% (0.247 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.157 -0.16)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.6%
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 24.43%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs NY Red Bulls

FC Cincinnati
75.0%
Draw
18.8%
New York Red Bulls
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-2
NY Red Bulls
Acosta (68' pen.)
Gaddis (27'), Powell (49'), Hagglund (73'), Pinto (82'), Barreal (90+8'), Acosta (90+10')
Powell (88')
Amaya (12'), Manoel (17')
Lesesne (28'), Reyes (53'), Coronel (90+9'), Duncan (90+10')
> Preview
Jul 13, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Cincinnati
Fernandez (28' pen.)
Ndam (3'), Edelman (45+1'), Vanzeir (64')
Acosta (80' pen.), Nwobodo (90+3')
Pinto (19'), Santos (62'), Ordonez (71')
> Preview
May 24, 2023
12.30am
Round of 16
NY Red Bulls  
vs.
  Cincinnati
Oct 15, 2022 5pm
First Round
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Cincinnati
Morgan (48')
Acosta (74' pen.), Vazquez (86')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 11pm
NY Red Bulls
1-1
Cincinnati
Klimala (23' pen.)
Edelman (85')
Miazga (13')
Miazga (37'), Nwobodo (66')
> Preview
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