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Major League Soccer
New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena, Harrison
Toronto FC

NY Red Bulls
3 - 0
Toronto

Barlow (45'), Luquinhas (48', 65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-2 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, October 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: Charlotte FC 3-0 Toronto
Thursday, October 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 2-0 Toronto

 Returning to the post-season might be a stretch for New York this year but shutting down a side without much attacking depth should not be a problem for a defensive unit as well organised as the Red Bulls.

How to watch

You can watch New York Red Bulls vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 75.53%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 8.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.68%) and 3-0 (10.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawToronto
75.53% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16) 15.68% (0.208 0.21) 8.8% (-0.048 -0.05)
Both teams to score 45.8% (-1.008 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.36% (-1.191 -1.19)39.64% (1.188 1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.01% (-1.252 -1.25)61.99% (1.246 1.25)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.14% (-0.32799999999999 -0.33)8.86% (0.324 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.67% (-0.795 -0.8)30.33% (0.792 0.79)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.25% (-0.923 -0.92)49.75% (0.919 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.51% (-0.655 -0.66)84.48% (0.65100000000001 0.65)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 75.51%
    Toronto 8.8%
    Draw 15.68%
New York Red BullsDrawToronto
2-0 @ 12.94% (0.32 0.32)
1-0 @ 10.68% (0.43 0.43)
3-0 @ 10.45% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.3% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-0 @ 6.34% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.43% (-0.141 -0.14)
5-0 @ 3.07% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.111 -0.11)
5-1 @ 2.15% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.092 -0.09)
6-0 @ 1.24% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 75.51%
1-1 @ 7.46% (0.106 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 3.16% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 15.68%
0-1 @ 3.08% (0.089 0.09)
1-2 @ 2.6% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 8.8%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Toronto

New York Red Bulls
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Toronto
0.0%
8
Head to Head
May 18, 2023 12.30am
Toronto
0-0
NY Red Bulls
Manoel (45'), Stroud (75'), Barlow (89')
> Preview
Jun 19, 2022 12am
NY Red Bulls
2-0
Toronto
Morgan (2'), Luquinhas (56')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 2
Toronto
1-4
NY Red Bulls
Jimenez (35')
Salcedo (61')
Morgan (17', 24', 40'), Long (42')
Nealis (31'), Klimala (67'), Nealis (86')
> Preview
Jul 22, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 17
Toronto
1-1
NY Red Bulls
Pozuelo (72'), Priso-Mbongue (81'), Soteldo (90+2')
Edwards (71')
> Preview
May 8, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 5
NY Red Bulls
2-0
Toronto
Amaya (32'), Clark (69')
Gutman (31'), Amaya (59')

Laryea (73'), Gonzalez (78')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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