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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Apr 9, 2023 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
LA Galaxy

Houston
3 - 0
LA Galaxy

Herrera (35'), Bassi (65' pen., 73')
Herrera (27'), Bassi (42'), Caicedo (77')
Herrera (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Caceres (34'), Edwards (61'), Brugman (64'), Puig (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Houston
Sunday, April 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-2 Seattle
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-2 Los Angeles Galaxy

 Houston have been impeccable in front of their home faithful so far this season but now face a visiting side who will be desperate to earn a result at the Shell Energy Stadium. LA Galaxy undoubtedly have the talent to turn around their shaky start to the campaign, and we believe the return of Hernandez to the matchday squad will inspire Vanney's men to all three points in Texas.

How to watch

You can watch Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
35.71% (-0.116 -0.12) 24.35% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 39.94% (0.1 0.1)
Both teams to score 59.99% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.27% (-0.105 -0.1)42.73% (0.109 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.87% (-0.102 -0.1)65.13% (0.107 0.11)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (-0.111 -0.11)23.62% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29% (-0.162 -0.16)57.71% (0.166 0.17)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.54% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)21.46% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.51% (0.0039999999999978 0)54.49%
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 35.71%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 39.94%
    Draw 24.35%
Houston DynamoDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.32% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 35.71%
1-1 @ 11.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.35%
1-2 @ 8.66% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.8% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 6% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.44% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.08% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.71% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 39.94%

Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 10pm
Houston
1-3
LA Galaxy
Ferreira (8')
Puig (31'), Hernandez (32'), Joveljic (69')
Hernandez (17')
May 23, 2022 1am
LA Galaxy
0-3
Houston

DePuy (65')
Ferreira (11'), Pasher (58'), Ulfarsson (62')
Rodriguez (16'), Ulfarsson (62'), Avila (80'), Hadebe (86')
Oct 21, 2021 1.30am
Houston
0-3
LA Galaxy

Figueroa (37')
Kljestan (39' pen.), Valentin (45+1' og.), Cabral (47')
Hernandez (9'), Araujo (11'), DePuy (84')
Sep 16, 2021 3.30am
LA Galaxy
1-1
Houston
Hernandez (61')
dos Santos (69')
Picault (13')
Vera (51'), Ceren (65'), Valentin (80'), Quintero (86'), Garcia (90+4')
Jul 24, 2020 1am
LA Galaxy
1-1
Houston
Pavon (90+1' pen.)
Steres (84')
Quintero (17')
Struna (45+3'), Quintero (59'), Garcia (70')
rhs 2.0
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