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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Mar 26, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
New York City

Houston
1 - 0
NY City

Bassi (55' pen.)
Artur (17'), Dorsey (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Parks (29'), Rodriguez (55'), Barraza (90+9'), Gray (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Last Game: Houston 2-0 Austin
Sunday, March 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 3-2 DC United
Saturday, March 18 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-2 New York City FC

 While Houston will be looking to build on last weekend's result and put together a fine run of form, they go up against a New York City FC side who appear to have finally hit their stride. The Pigeons put three goals past DC United last time out and we are backing them to pick up where they dropped off by claiming all three points.

How to watch

You can watch Houston Dynamo vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawNew York City FC
36.83% (0.10400000000001 0.1) 25.26% (0.004999999999999 0) 37.91% (-0.109 -0.11)
Both teams to score 56.83% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.15% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)46.85% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)69.1% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (0.049999999999997 0.05)24.9% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.48% (0.07 0.07)59.52% (-0.07 -0.07)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)24.32% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)58.7% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 36.83%
    New York City FC 37.91%
    Draw 25.25%
Houston DynamoDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 8.42% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.27% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.85% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.71% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 36.83%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.06% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 8.56% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.42% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 37.91%

How you voted: Houston vs NY City

Houston Dynamo
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
New York City FC
50.0%
42
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2020 1.30am
Houston
P-P
NY City
Aug 9, 2019 12am
NY City
3-2
Houston
Mitrita (16'), Castellanos (83', 93')
Miller (42'), Ring (45'), Castellanos (94')
David Cabezas (26'), Manotas (77')
Rodriguez (38'), Struna (62'), Lundqvist (82'), Vera (86')
Quioto (29')
May 26, 2018 1.55am
Houston
3-1
NY City
Fuenmayor (21'), Martinez (69'), Elis (80')
Fuenmayor (16'), Elis (80')
Villa (6')
Villa (36'), Callens (89')
Sep 23, 2017 8pm
NY City
1-1
Houston
Moralez (6')
Manotas (16')
Oct 1, 2016 1am
Houston
0-2
NY City

Rodriguez (57')
Villa (52', 91')
McNamara (62')
rhs 2.0
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