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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Mar 26, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
New York City

Houston
1 - 0
NY City

Bassi (55' pen.)
Artur (17'), Dorsey (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Parks (29'), Rodriguez (55'), Barraza (90+9'), Gray (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 2-0 Austin
Sunday, March 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 3-2 DC United
Saturday, March 18 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-2 New York City FC

While Houston will be looking to build on last weekend's result and put together a fine run of form, they go up against a New York City FC side who appear to have finally hit their stride. The Pigeons put three goals past DC United last time out and we are backing them to pick up where they dropped off by claiming all three points.

How to watch

You can watch Houston Dynamo vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawNew York City FC
36.83% (0.10400000000001 0.1) 25.26% (0.004999999999999 0) 37.91% (-0.109 -0.11)
Both teams to score 56.83% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.15% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)46.85% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)69.1% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (0.049999999999997 0.05)24.9% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.48% (0.07 0.07)59.52% (-0.07 -0.07)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)24.32% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)58.7% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 36.83%
    New York City FC 37.91%
    Draw 25.25%
Houston DynamoDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 8.42% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.27% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.85% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.71% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 36.83%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.06% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 8.56% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.42% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 37.91%

How you voted: Houston vs NY City

Houston Dynamo
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
New York City FC
50.0%
42
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2020 1.30am
Aug 9, 2019 12am
NY City
3-2
Houston
Mitrita (16'), Castellanos (83', 93')
Miller (42'), Ring (45'), Castellanos (94')
David Cabezas (26'), Manotas (77')
Rodriguez (38'), Struna (62'), Lundqvist (82'), Vera (86')
Quioto (29')
May 26, 2018 1.55am
Houston
3-1
NY City
Fuenmayor (21'), Martinez (69'), Elis (80')
Fuenmayor (16'), Elis (80')
Villa (6')
Villa (36'), Callens (89')
Sep 23, 2017 8pm
NY City
1-1
Houston
Moralez (6')
Manotas (16')
Oct 1, 2016 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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