Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 51.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.