We said: Houston Dynamo 1-1 Seattle Sounders
Both teams enter this match on the back of positive victories, but they are likely to cancel each other out on Thursday, given their similar starts to the campaign, despite Seattle sitting five place beneath Houston.
The Sounders have played two fewer games, but have scored and conceded a similar total, suggesting that Dynamo and the Sounders will be relatively evenly matched in Texas.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.