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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Jun 19, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
Houston Dynamo

Orlando City
2 - 1
Houston

Kara (25', 58')
Jansson (14'), Pereyra (39'), Gallese (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ferreira (59')
Avila (16'), Lundqvist (20'), Vera (21'), Zeca (32'), Hadebe (44'), Ulfarsson (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 1-1 Orlando City
Thursday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 2-0 Houston Dynamo

While they have certainly had their struggles recently and look far from their best, Orlando City have more than enough talent in their ranks to outclass the visitors, and we see them making a return to winning ways at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 18.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawHouston Dynamo
59% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04) 22.35% (0.0030000000000001 0) 18.65% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.52% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.15% (0.031999999999996 0.03)46.85% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.89% (0.030999999999999 0.03)69.1% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)15.53% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.55% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)44.45% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.99% (0.059999999999995 0.06)39% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.27% (0.056999999999999 0.06)75.73% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 58.99%
    Houston Dynamo 18.65%
    Draw 22.35%
Orlando CityDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 11.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.14%
4-0 @ 3.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.86%
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 58.99%
1-1 @ 10.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.35%
0-1 @ 5.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 5% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.68% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 18.65%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Houston

Orlando City
Draw
Houston Dynamo
Orlando City
75.0%
Draw
0.0%
Houston Dynamo
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2019 1.30am
Sep 23, 2018 12.30am
Orlando City
0-0
Houston

Spector (24'), Ascues (73'), Dwyer (91'), Yotun (94')

Wenger (33')
May 7, 2017 1.30am
Houston
4-0
Orlando City
Elis (23'), Manotas (51', 65'), Quioto (75')
Quioto (45'), DeLaGarza (60'), Machado (84')

Toia (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami5410114713
2Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia6402128412
3Columbus Crew633084412
4Nashville SCNashville632183511
5Chicago Fire6321129311
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC6312106410
7New York City FCNY City62319819
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls62227618
9FC CincinnatiCincinnati622268-28
10Orlando City5212131127
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta6132911-26
12DC United6132811-36
13New England RevolutionNew England511336-34
14Toronto6024612-62
15CF MontrealMontreal602429-72

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver6411105513
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd632186211
3Colorado RapidsColorado632187111
4Austin FCAustin53024319
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles53026609
6St Louis City52214138
7Portland TimbersPortland521267-17
8Dallas621379-27
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes52038806
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake6204510-56
11Seattle SoundersSeattle51227705
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas6114610-44
13Houston DynamoHouston502338-52
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy5023410-62
15San Diego FC00000000


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