Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 66.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 14.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.