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Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Columbus Crew

Montreal
1 - 3
Columbus Crew

Choiniere (45+2' pen.)
Choiniere (35'), Lassiter (39')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Arfsten (19'), Rossi (59'), Hinestroza (89')
Camacho (41'), Schulte (45+1'), Yeboah (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 2-3 Inter Miami
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 12 at 12.45am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 1-1 Columbus Crew

Something tells us that Montreal will be extra motivated for this match, not just because of their collapse last weekend, but also to give their current manager an ego boost against their former boss. That said, the Crew have tremendous resilience and have fared well in intimidating environments all season, which is why we project they will nab a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawColumbus Crew
35.65% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 23.71% (0.0019999999999989 0) 40.64% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)39.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.05% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)61.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.22% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.35% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)55.65% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (-0.012 -0.01)19.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.14% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)51.85% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 35.65%
    Columbus Crew 40.65%
    Draw 23.7%
CF MontrealDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 6.62% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 4.98% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 4.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 35.65%
1-1 @ 10.71%
2-2 @ 6.53%
0-0 @ 4.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.7%
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 7.13%
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 40.65%

How you voted: Montreal vs Columbus Crew

CF Montreal
50.0%
Draw
12.5%
Columbus Crew
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 12.30am
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
Sep 3, 2023 12.30am
Montreal
2-4
Columbus Crew
Opoku (52'), Vilsaint (68')
Jabang (18'), Miljevic (90+4')
Corbo (14' og.), Camilo Hernandez (22', 43', 65')
Yeboah (29'), Amundsen (46'), Schulte (86')
Sep 10, 2022 12.30am
Aug 4, 2022 12.30am
Columbus Crew
1-2
Montreal
Diaz Espinoza (47')
Waterman (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010


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