Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.23%) and 2-0 (5.29%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
Result | ||
CF Montreal | Draw | Inter Miami |
40.46% ( -0.1) | 22.98% ( -0.01) | 36.56% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 65.33% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.18% ( 0.08) | 35.82% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.1% ( 0.09) | 57.89% ( -0.09) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.72% ( -0.01) | 18.28% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.66% ( -0.01) | 49.34% ( 0.01) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.94% ( 0.09) | 20.05% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.72% ( 0.14) | 52.27% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
CF Montreal | Draw | Inter Miami |
2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 40.46% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 36.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 28 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 27 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 20 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 20 |
6 | Toronto | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
11 | Orlando City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 12 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 19 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
9 | St Louis City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 10 |