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Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Inter Miami

Montreal
2 - 3
Inter Miami

Duke (22'), Vilsaint (32')
Piette (43')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Rojas (44'), Suarez (45+3'), Cremaschi (59')
Krivtsov (55'), Busquets (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 4-1 Montreal
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 1-4 Inter Miami

Le CFM have conceded four or more goals in three domestic away fixtures this season, and that was against three low-scoring teams in the Seattle Sounders, Chicago Fire and Nashville, so we imagine that a quality side like Miami would do a lot of damage against them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.23%) and 2-0 (5.29%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawInter Miami
40.46% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1) 22.98% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01) 36.56% (0.109 0.11)
Both teams to score 65.33% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.18% (0.084000000000003 0.08)35.82% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.1% (0.092999999999996 0.09)57.89% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)18.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)49.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (0.087999999999994 0.09)20.05% (-0.090999999999998 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.72% (0.144 0.14)52.27% (-0.146 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 40.46%
    Inter Miami 36.56%
    Draw 22.97%
CF MontrealDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.23% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.29% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 40.46%
1-1 @ 10% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.83% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.97%
1-2 @ 8.04% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.66% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.53% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.73% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.47% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 36.56%

How you voted: Montreal vs Inter Miami

CF Montreal
8.2%
Draw
8.2%
Inter Miami
83.7%
49
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 9pm
Inter Miami
2-3
Montreal
Campana (71'), Alba (80')
Redondo (19'), Aviles (49'), Krivtsov (57'), Campana (86'), Allen (90+3')
Alvarez (13'), Coccaro (75'), Sunusi (78')
Vilsaint (63'), Edwards (90+3')
May 28, 2023 12.30am
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010


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