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Major League Soccer
Montreal Impact
Major League Soccer
May 29, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Saputo Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Montreal
4 - 3
Cincinnati

Waterman (21'), Quioto (45+4', 59' pen.), Choiniere (46')
Waterman (53'), Camacho (86'), Hamdy (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Moreno (12', 63'), Barreal (52')
Acosta (83'), Moreno (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

Last Six:
Last Game: Montreal 4-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Montreal vs. Austin
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: Montreal 4-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 2-2 FC Cincinnati

 Sunday's encounter is a difficult one to predict considering the last three results between the two teams; a goalless draw in August 2021 was sandwiched in between 5-4 and 4-3 victories for Montreal. Both sides will fancy their chances of claiming maximum points at the Saputo Stadium, but as there is little to separate them, they may have to settle for an entertaining score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 15.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawFC Cincinnati
64.76% (2.229 2.23) 19.99% (-0.542 -0.54) 15.25% (-1.693 -1.69)
Both teams to score 52.11% (-2.048 -2.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.54% (-0.79000000000001 -0.79)42.46% (0.786 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.13% (-0.79499999999999 -0.79)64.87% (0.79000000000001 0.79)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.64% (0.392 0.39)12.36% (-0.397 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.8% (0.815 0.81)38.2% (-0.82 -0.82)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.46% (-2.617 -2.62)40.54% (2.613 2.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.85% (-2.452 -2.45)77.14% (2.447 2.45)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 64.76%
    FC Cincinnati 15.25%
    Draw 19.99%
CF MontrealDrawFC Cincinnati
2-0 @ 10.95% (0.7 0.7)
1-0 @ 10.47% (0.509 0.51)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
3-0 @ 7.63% (0.592 0.59)
3-1 @ 6.89% (0.065 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.99% (0.364 0.36)
4-1 @ 3.6% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.198 -0.2)
5-0 @ 1.67% (0.175 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.078 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.51% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 64.76%
1-1 @ 9.46% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-0 @ 5.01% (0.173 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.357 -0.36)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.99%
0-1 @ 4.52% (-0.166 -0.17)
1-2 @ 4.27% (-0.412 -0.41)
0-2 @ 2.04% (-0.231 -0.23)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.228 -0.23)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 15.25%

How you voted: Montreal vs Cincinnati

CF Montreal
52.9%
Draw
41.2%
FC Cincinnati
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 9pm
Cincinnati
3-4
Montreal
Vazquez (12'), Johnston (20' og.), Acosta (61' pen.)
Gaddis (24'), Powell (28'), Blackett (90+1'), Acosta (90+4')
Mihailovic (17', 41'), Kamara (45+1'), Torres (67')
Waterman (70'), Breza (88'), Wanyama (90+4')
Aug 19, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-0
Montreal

Cruz (36'), Matarrita (62'), Acosta (89'), Brenner (90+4')

Maciel (22'), Choiniere (26'), Camacho (68'), Camacho (74')
Jul 18, 2021 12.30am
Montreal
5-4
Cincinnati
Toye (21', 72' pen.), Torres (34'), Hamdi Hussein Hafez (74', 87')
Waterman (41'), Brault-Guillard (90')
Medunjanin (6'), Brenner (14', 46'), Vallecilla (42')
Kubo (28'), Vallecilla (31'), Brenner (45+1'), Vermeer (67'), Acosta (84')
May 22, 2021 6pm
Montreal
1-2
Cincinnati
Mihailovic (56')
Mihailovic (35'), Brault-Guillard (43'), Quioto (54'), Wanyama (89')
Locadia (70'), Gustavo Vallecilla Godoy (86')
Oct 4, 2020 9.30pm
Montreal
P-P
Cincinnati
rhs 2.0
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