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Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
May 22, 2022 at 12.20am UK
Nippert Stadium
New England Revolution

Cincinnati
2 - 3
New England

Vazquez (26'), Barreal (58')
Nwobodo (23')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Lletget (17'), Buksa (43'), McNamara (89')
Rivera (5'), Boateng (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: Montreal 4-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

New England Revolution

Last Six:
Last Game: New England 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Kansas vs. New England
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-3 New England Revolution

 Both of these teams like to play a wide-open style of football while being quick in transition, so there should be many glorious scoring chances on either end, with each possessing more than enough quality to bury those opportunities. The Revs should have a slight edge because their midfielders are more multi-faceted, plus New England have experienced a lot more of these close, high-scoring games and usually find a way to come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 38% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.07%) and 0-2 (5.45%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-3 win for New England Revolution in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for New England Revolution.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawNew England Revolution
38% (-0.759 -0.76) 23.93% (-0.422 -0.42) 38.07% (1.174 1.17)
Both teams to score 61.76% (1.626 1.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.51% (2.096 2.1)40.49% (-2.104 -2.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.13% (2.121 2.12)62.86% (-2.129 -2.13)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.57% (0.547 0.55)21.42% (-0.554 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.57% (0.84 0.84)54.43% (-0.848 -0.85)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6% (1.528 1.53)21.39% (-1.537 -1.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.61% (2.311 2.31)54.38% (-2.318 -2.32)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 38%
    New England Revolution 38.07%
    Draw 23.92%
FC CincinnatiDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-0 @ 7.06% (-0.575 -0.58)
2-0 @ 5.44% (-0.345 -0.35)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.154 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.08 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 38%
1-1 @ 10.88% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-2 @ 6.47% (0.195 0.2)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.457 -0.46)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.153 0.15)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.116 0.12)
0-1 @ 7.07% (-0.354 -0.35)
0-2 @ 5.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.32% (0.251 0.25)
2-3 @ 3.33% (0.245 0.25)
0-3 @ 2.8% (0.118 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.167 0.17)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.148 0.15)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 38.07%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs New England

FC Cincinnati
21.4%
Draw
14.3%
New England Revolution
64.3%
14
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2021 1am
New England
4-1
Cincinnati
Buchanan (7'), Boateng (21'), Buksa (33', 61')
McNamara (68'), Buchanan (73'), Farrell (86')
Brenner (54')
May 29, 2021 8pm
Cincinnati
0-1
New England

Stanko (9'), Kubo (69')
Buksa (70')
Buchanan (33'), Kessler (66')
May 10, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
P-P
New England
Apr 12, 2020 12.30am
New England
P-P
Cincinnati
Jul 21, 2019 11pm
Cincinnati
0-2
New England

Cruz (54')
Gil (9'), Delamea Mlinar (55')
rhs 2.0
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