We said: Nashville SC 3-0 Houston Dynamo
The Dynamo have conceded multiple goals in three straight road games, and having to contend with one of the frontrunners for MLS MVP in Hany Mukhtar will make their weekend task incredibly daunting.
Not only is Mukhtar in fine form, but the Boys in Gold have rediscovered their defensive game, and that could spell bad news for Houston.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 1-2 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.